PnL (30d)

−$434

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-29.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

7%

14W / 176L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

8%

16W / 180L

Trades (30d)

196

across 140 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$3.21

avg win $115 · loss $11

Profit Factor

0.68

$922 won / $1,356 lost

Reward / Risk

10.80

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$315

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	7.4% 14W/176L	140	$1,733
⚽ Sports	7.5% 8W/99L	73	$569
₿ Crypto	—	1	$39

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	238	0.915	$218.07	$40.27	+22.7%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	300	0.695	$208.47	$118.52	+131.8%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	103	0.870	$89.52	$10.26	+12.9%
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	91	0.920	$83.83	$7.52	+9.9%
Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	106	0.770	$81.91	$-12.76	-13.5%
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	70	0.935	$65.45	$-0.35	-0.5%
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	62	0.880	$54.50	$-0.34	-0.6%
Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	40	0.875	$35.00	$-3.00	-7.9%
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	37	0.939	$34.96	$3.83	+12.3%
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?	No	40	0.865	$34.25	$-1.39	-3.9%
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	No	31	0.970	$30.31	$4.65	+18.1%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	25	0.885	$21.98	$4.43	+25.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	200	0.107	$21.50	$13.30	+162.2%
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	20	0.922	$18.44	$0.84	+4.8%
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	15	0.957	$14.37	$-0.09	-0.6%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	No	15	0.770	$11.54	$6.75	+140.6%
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	12	0.907	$11.04	$-0.64	-5.5%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	156	0.052	$8.19	$0.08	+1.0%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.069	$6.91	$-8.11	-54.0%
Fuse FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	6	0.921	$5.98	$-0.18	-3.0%
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	8	0.640	$4.80	$3.30	+220.0%
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	12	0.270	$3.22	$1.10	+52.1%
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	20	0.087	$1.75	$-1.05	-37.5%
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?	Yes	40	0.032	$1.26	$-34.34	-96.5%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	90	0.006	$0.58	$-4.00	-87.3%