PnL (30d)

−$53

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$13

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-85.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

17W / 16L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

19W / 17L

Trades (30d)

36

across 5 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$17.59

avg win $0 · loss $26

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $53 lost

Reward / Risk

0.00

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.5% 17W/16L	5	$212
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	3,100	0.012	$37.20	$11.42	+44.3%
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	Yes	357	0.065	$23.21	$-36.79	-61.3%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	300	0.075	$22.65	$-31.35	-58.1%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,182	0.006	$20.68	$-14.32	-40.9%
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	210	0.095	$19.98	$-7.36	-26.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	160	0.115	$18.36	$-28.08	-60.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	150	0.054	$8.08	$6.26	+345.9%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3,113	0.003	$7.78	$-11.37	-59.4%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	222	0.029	$6.33	$-0.56	-8.1%
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	4,074	0.002	$6.11	$-7.54	-55.2%
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	3,435	0.002	$5.15	$-5.15	-50.0%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	1,702	0.003	$4.25	$-1.42	-25.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	388	0.009	$3.30	$1.30	+64.8%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	625	0.004	$2.19	$-0.31	-12.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	250	0.009	$2.12	$1.12	+112.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	340	0.004	$1.53	$0.51	+50.0%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	900	0.002	$1.35	$-2.25	-62.5%
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	813	0.002	$1.22	$-1.85	-60.2%
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	484	0.002	$0.73	$-3.63	-83.3%
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	450	0.002	$0.68	$-1.12	-62.5%
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	450	0.002	$0.68	$-0.68	-50.0%