| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
186 |
0.830 |
$154.75 |
$44.75 |
+40.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
121 |
0.865 |
$104.73 |
$4.73 |
+4.7% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
26 |
0.880 |
$22.56 |
$2.56 |
+12.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
79 |
0.195 |
$15.34 |
$-14.66 |
-48.9% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
Yes |
380 |
0.038 |
$14.64 |
$-15.36 |
-51.2% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
16 |
0.786 |
$12.81 |
$2.81 |
+28.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.645 |
$12.65 |
$2.65 |
+26.5% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
15 |
0.805 |
$12.22 |
$2.22 |
+22.2% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.948 |
$11.02 |
$1.02 |
+10.2% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? |
Yes |
95 |
0.115 |
$10.93 |
$-9.07 |
-45.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
12 |
0.875 |
$10.54 |
$0.54 |
+5.4% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.885 |
$10.54 |
$0.54 |
+5.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House |
No |
10 |
0.989 |
$10.08 |
$0.08 |
+0.8% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.905 |
$8.78 |
$3.37 |
+62.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
63 |
0.135 |
$8.44 |
$-1.56 |
-15.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.915 |
$6.60 |
$-0.23 |
-3.3% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
Yes |
27 |
0.204 |
$5.50 |
$-4.13 |
-42.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
75 |
0.051 |
$3.81 |
$-6.19 |
-61.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
4 |
0.855 |
$3.51 |
$1.01 |
+40.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
Yes |
59 |
0.055 |
$3.24 |
$-6.76 |
-67.6% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
247 |
0.011 |
$2.84 |
$-7.16 |
-71.6% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
34 |
0.044 |
$1.52 |
$-0.52 |
-25.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.042 |
$0.78 |
$-1.67 |
-68.1% |