PnL (30d)

−$936

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$218

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-14.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

21%

52W / 196L · 95 open

Win Return (30d)

24%

83W / 260L

Trades (30d)

343

across 55 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$23.40

avg win $178 · loss $59

Profit Factor

0.53

$1,070 won / $2,006 lost

Reward / Risk

3.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$594

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	21.0% 52W/196L	55	$8,136
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/14L	13	$1,200
🏛 Politics	92.6% 25W/2L	5	$1,605
🎬 Culture	96.2% 25W/1L	5	$1,606
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/10L	4	$526

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	26,204	0.059	$1,532.95	$-376.87	-19.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9,805	0.043	$416.72	$31.73	+8.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	6,600	0.055	$363.00	$-561.00	-60.7%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	4,506	0.040	$177.98	$-299.64	-62.7%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	5,420	0.028	$149.04	$-158.33	-51.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	Yes	5,544	0.025	$140.83	$-56.63	-28.7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	134	0.971	$129.81	$27.35	+26.7%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	540	0.145	$78.37	$8.11	+11.5%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	245	0.147	$36.13	$-123.52	-77.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	No	4,880	0.007	$34.16	$-30.89	-47.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5?	Yes	5,101	0.006	$33.16	$-58.31	-63.7%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in August?	Yes	440	0.065	$28.60	$2.20	+8.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	Yes	522	0.048	$24.80	$-2.35	-8.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 7?	No	4,775	0.005	$23.88	$-133.70	-84.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 8?	No	3,137	0.006	$20.39	$-14.59	-41.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	No	3,330	0.005	$18.31	$-27.00	-59.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	493	0.029	$14.55	$0.74	+5.4%
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto	Something	380	0.036	$13.68	$2.26	+19.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	600	0.015	$9.00	$-40.00	-81.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5?	No	3,290	0.001	$1.64	$-100.34	-98.4%