PnL (30d)

+$6,167

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$335

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

92%

4,708W / 392L · 1,156 open

Win Return (30d)

87%

5,402W / 830L · 24 open

Trades (30d)

6,256

across 174 markets · ~36 per market

EV / position

+$54.57

avg win $240 · loss $2,380

Profit Factor

1.32

$25,205 won / $19,038 lost

Reward / Risk

0.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$49

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	91.9% 11,401W/1,007L	327	$590,525
🏛 Politics	99.8% 1,283W/3L	84	$124,200
🎬 Culture	99.8% 1,283W/3L	82	$123,811

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

165 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,512	0.435	$1,092.65	$983.13	+897.8%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in August 2026?	No	1,005	0.998	$1,002.99	$-1.00	-0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,452	0.255	$625.15	$530.52	+560.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	600	0.988	$592.50	$20.90	+3.7%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	600	0.961	$576.30	$239.30	+71.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,449	0.207	$508.22	$412.91	+433.2%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	500	0.955	$477.25	$10.45	+2.2%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	265	1.000	$265.04	$1.38	+0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,344	0.185	$248.70	$196.99	+381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	226	0.984	$221.99	$15.37	+7.4%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,356	0.085	$200.26	$101.87	+103.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	217	0.875	$190.30	$-1.11	-0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	203	0.935	$189.47	$3.61	+1.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,061	0.175	$185.68	$144.87	+355.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	201	0.825	$166.20	$1.01	+0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	187	0.840	$157.00	$1.33	+0.9%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	149	0.993	$148.09	$-0.35	-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	150	0.974	$146.10	$-2.35	-1.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	171	0.845	$144.36	$0.60	+0.4%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	149	0.924	$138.02	$-0.65	-0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	128	0.999	$128.05	$-0.05	-0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	138	0.865	$119.64	$1.12	+0.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	143	0.825	$118.25	$-0.48	-0.4%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	700	0.155	$108.53	$81.60	+303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?	Yes	620	0.165	$102.30	$86.14	+533.0%