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Trader

0x1dfebe22f26b64199a111de6a2a5554ae2efb4f9
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$15
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
83W / 75L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
88W / 75L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
167
across 141 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.11
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
2.01
$29 won / $14 lost
Reward / Risk
1.48
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $423 · all-time $270,573

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.6% 271W/287L 489 $1,282
🌤 Weather 43.5% 20W/26L 46 $103

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $0.95 +23.4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 6? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $0.35 +7.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $0.50 +11.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 7? No 5 0.975 $4.97 $0.18 +3.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? No 5 0.974 $4.87 $0.12 +2.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6? No 5 0.967 $4.83 $0.18 +4.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? No 5 0.963 $4.81 $0.76 +18.8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6? No 5 0.936 $4.78 $0.21 +4.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 6? No 5 0.955 $4.77 $0.27 +6.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 7? No 5 0.945 $4.72 $0.07 +1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 6? No 5 0.940 $4.70 $0.05 +1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6? No 5 0.935 $4.67 $0.07 +1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 7? No 5 0.925 $4.62 $0.22 +5.1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on August 6? Yes 5 0.019 $0.10 $0.04 +90.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 6? Yes 5 0.013 $0.07 $0.01 +30.0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 7? Yes 5 0.010 $0.05 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on August 5? Yes 15 0.001 $0.01 $-0.01 -50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on August 6? Yes 15 0.001 $0.01 $-0.01 -50.0%