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Trader

0x1d7c3422cc4ce0106995917268d5309d5f9a51b6
PnL (30d)
−$229
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$152
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
83W / 43L · 84 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
134W / 69L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
210
across 49 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$15.24
avg win $125 · loss $225
Profit Factor
0.83
$1,123 won / $1,351 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,748 · all-time $1,905,841

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.9% 83W/43L 49 $16,177
🏛 Politics 4 $537
⚽ Sports 4 $689
₿ Crypto 1 $4
💵 Economy 1 $4
🎬 Culture 1 $96

Open positions

66 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 510 0.981 $499.75 $-0.25 -0.1%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 455 0.900 $409.39 $27.19 +7.1%
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No 424 0.943 $399.54 $6.54 +1.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 350 0.870 $304.50 $-26.05 -7.9%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 1,000 0.298 $298.50 $-3.50 -1.2%
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes 310 0.947 $293.31 $13.31 +4.8%
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? No 264 0.915 $241.32 $14.69 +6.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 500 0.461 $230.25 $-60.75 -20.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No 250 0.829 $207.25 $-21.85 -9.5%
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No 200 0.955 $190.90 $6.10 +3.3%
New pandemic in 2026? No 200 0.935 $187.00 $1.00 +0.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 200 0.696 $138.77 $-10.03 -6.7%
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 131 0.945 $124.08 $2.28 +1.9%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 128 0.915 $116.81 $-3.19 -2.7%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 109 0.975 $105.98 $5.98 +6.0%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No 300 0.345 $103.47 $-1.53 -1.5%
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? No 104 0.987 $102.81 $2.81 +2.8%
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No 110 0.926 $101.64 $1.64 +1.6%
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 105 0.961 $100.68 $0.68 +0.7%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 100 0.998 $99.80 $0.10 +0.1%
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 101 0.984 $99.44 $3.44 +3.6%
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No 100 0.981 $98.05 $0.45 +0.5%
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 100 0.970 $96.95 $1.65 +1.7%
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? No 100 0.965 $96.50 $3.60 +3.9%
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No 100 0.963 $96.30 $-0.20 -0.2%