| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
No |
1,099 |
0.415 |
$455.89 |
$-290.84 |
-38.9% |
| Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 245M? |
Yes |
382 |
0.755 |
$288.05 |
$-40.85 |
-12.4% |
| Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 225M? |
Yes |
151 |
0.960 |
$145.39 |
$0.01 |
+0.0% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
100 |
0.786 |
$78.65 |
$14.75 |
+23.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
100 |
0.730 |
$73.00 |
$-2.60 |
-3.4% |
| Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 205M? |
Yes |
59 |
0.960 |
$56.48 |
$-1.24 |
-2.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
100 |
0.539 |
$53.95 |
$40.95 |
+315.0% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.925 |
$46.25 |
$1.75 |
+3.9% |
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? |
No |
629 |
0.070 |
$44.00 |
$-99.30 |
-69.3% |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? |
No |
54 |
0.810 |
$43.44 |
$8.00 |
+22.6% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
89 |
0.465 |
$41.35 |
$-10.23 |
-19.8% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
436 |
0.095 |
$41.24 |
$-73.18 |
-64.0% |
| Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q2 gross booking value be above $26.7B? |
Yes |
27 |
0.870 |
$23.79 |
$5.47 |
+29.9% |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? |
Yes |
2,285 |
0.009 |
$21.71 |
$-0.49 |
-2.2% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
3,597 |
0.005 |
$19.78 |
$-903.13 |
-97.9% |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers? |
Yes |
55 |
0.253 |
$13.99 |
$10.67 |
+321.7% |
| Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M? |
Yes |
40 |
0.335 |
$13.40 |
$2.20 |
+19.6% |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? |
Yes |
50 |
0.182 |
$9.10 |
$8.65 |
+1922.2% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.089 |
$8.95 |
$4.95 |
+123.7% |
| Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 255? |
No |
10 |
0.820 |
$8.20 |
$0.20 |
+2.5% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.096 |
$5.76 |
$-26.44 |
-82.1% |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? |
Yes |
100 |
0.045 |
$4.50 |
$0.50 |
+12.5% |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers? |
Yes |
65 |
0.040 |
$2.58 |
$2.05 |
+393.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.025 |
$2.45 |
$-20.15 |
-89.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.055 |
$1.65 |
$-10.05 |
-85.9% |