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Trader leaderboard/bravelittleguy

bravelittleguy

0x1d66d98518f21288355bbc6455c5ad29b4a3928f
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$187
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-27.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
22%
2W / 7L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
20%
2W / 8L
Trades (30d)
10
across 7 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$31.12
avg win $2 · loss $38
Profit Factor
0.01
$2 won / $189 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$187
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,830 · all-time $975,799

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 22.0% 13W/46L 44 $45,137
🏛 Politics 30.0% 3W/7L 11 $4,392
💵 Economy 5.3% 1W/18L 11 $5,267
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/18L 7 $447
🎬 Culture 22.2% 2W/7L 7 $852
🤖 Tech 1 $19

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 6,191 0.886 $5,488.23 $413.87 +8.2%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No 1,700 0.925 $1,572.50 $8.50 +0.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 1,660 0.925 $1,535.23 $23.23 +1.5%
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 1,490 0.978 $1,456.91 $4.78 +0.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No 1,595 0.855 $1,363.30 $29.92 +2.2%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 1,324 0.954 $1,262.53 $2.45 +0.2%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes 1,256 0.963 $1,208.72 $4.80 +0.4%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? Yes 1,214 0.880 $1,068.22 $68.48 +6.8%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No 1,200 0.885 $1,062.00 $6.00 +0.6%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? No 1,051 0.979 $1,028.91 $14.35 +1.4%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? No 1,016 0.945 $959.79 $32.52 +3.5%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No 675 0.986 $665.13 $12.84 +2.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 720 0.865 $623.12 $13.48 +2.2%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 641 0.963 $616.51 $14.73 +2.4%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 410 0.595 $244.05 $-67.52 -21.7%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in July? No 111 0.921 $102.36 $2.36 +2.4%
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No 105 0.945 $99.02 $3.35 +3.5%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 63 0.895 $55.96 $1.56 +2.9%
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? No 54 0.945 $51.36 $1.36 +2.7%
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No 65 0.755 $49.33 $-0.67 -1.3%
Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No 20 0.904 $18.08 $-0.52 -2.8%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,831 0.007 $13.73 $-16.84 -55.1%