QMG-SCALAR
0x1d620ed68c4fd00b189207ed1f8c13222766d76b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$339
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$414
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
85%
22W / 4L · 67 open
Win Return (30d)
96%
86W / 4L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
93
across 10 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$56.49
avg win $90 · loss $10
Profit Factor
17.14
$360 won / $21 lost
Reward / Risk
8.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21,583 · all-time $1,440,210
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
10,000 |
0.985 |
$9,844.99 |
$117.51 |
+1.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.925 |
$9,250.01 |
$246.38 |
+2.7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
6,747 |
0.995 |
$6,709.56 |
$150.04 |
+2.3% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
2,054 |
0.993 |
$2,038.76 |
$37.64 |
+1.9% |