| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
31 |
0.931 |
$28.59 |
$0.40 |
+1.4% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
38 |
0.746 |
$27.98 |
$-0.52 |
-1.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.635 |
$25.49 |
$-3.01 |
-10.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
38 |
0.643 |
$24.68 |
$0.94 |
+4.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
158 |
0.135 |
$21.37 |
$-2.38 |
-10.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
119 |
0.155 |
$18.41 |
$-5.34 |
-22.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
24 |
0.723 |
$17.67 |
$-0.62 |
-3.4% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
19 |
0.925 |
$17.12 |
$2.13 |
+14.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
306 |
0.054 |
$16.55 |
$-11.95 |
-41.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.545 |
$14.34 |
$-0.66 |
-4.4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.977 |
$14.33 |
$0.83 |
+6.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
39 |
0.355 |
$13.93 |
$0.20 |
+1.4% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
21 |
0.640 |
$13.15 |
$-1.85 |
-12.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.865 |
$11.84 |
$-0.34 |
-2.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
16 |
0.741 |
$11.69 |
$0.43 |
+3.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
11 |
0.816 |
$9.35 |
$0.57 |
+6.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.935 |
$9.28 |
$0.55 |
+6.2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
10 |
0.930 |
$9.23 |
$1.69 |
+22.4% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
10 |
0.927 |
$8.94 |
$0.73 |
+8.9% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
14 |
0.489 |
$6.69 |
$-3.23 |
-32.6% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.973 |
$5.53 |
$0.53 |
+10.6% |
| Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
No |
6 |
0.943 |
$5.44 |
$0.44 |
+8.9% |
| Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
5 |
0.953 |
$5.20 |
$0.21 |
+4.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.835 |
$5.15 |
$0.15 |
+3.1% |
| Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
No |
6 |
0.876 |
$5.14 |
$0.14 |
+2.9% |