PnL (30d)

+$440

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$33

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

88%

113W / 15L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

86%

114W / 19L

Trades (30d)

133

across 68 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$6.67

avg win $25 · loss $96

Profit Factor

1.46

$1,397 won / $957 lost

Reward / Risk

0.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$100

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	86.0% 398W/65L	268	$105,312
🏛 Politics	96.2% 25W/1L	21	$6,342
⚽ Sports	100.0% 25W/0L	17	$7,397
🎬 Culture	93.8% 15W/1L	14	$3,661

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	Yes	375	0.945	$354.38	$54.38	+18.1%
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	397	0.865	$343.57	$-36.43	-9.6%
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	349	0.956	$333.06	$2.06	+0.6%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	492	0.607	$298.41	$-42.89	-12.6%
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	222	0.960	$213.22	$13.22	+6.6%
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	258	0.820	$211.42	$3.00	+1.4%
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	267	0.760	$202.67	$2.67	+1.3%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?	No	215	0.925	$199.22	$-0.78	-0.4%
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	410	0.395	$161.79	$-21.21	-11.6%
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by August 7?	Yes	101	0.995	$100.52	$0.52	+0.5%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	100	1.000	$100.15	$0.15	+0.2%