PnL (30d)

+$2,513

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,823

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

30%

60W / 139L · 554 open

Win Return (30d)

78%

590W / 163L

Trades (30d)

753

across 21 markets · ~36 per market

EV / position

+$359.02

avg win $962 · loss $93

Profit Factor

7.73

$2,887 won / $373 lost

Reward / Risk

10.31

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$107

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.2% 60W/139L	21	$188,925
💵 Economy	65.2% 58W/31L	8	$60,776
₿ Crypto	35.4% 17W/31L	6	$53,284
🏛 Politics	100.0% 41W/0L	2	$58,373

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	10,000	0.665	$6,650.32	$-567.06	-7.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?	No	5,000	0.988	$4,937.49	$2.50	+0.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	10,000	0.400	$4,000.00	$-1,268.67	-24.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	5,041	0.745	$3,755.83	$-26.44	-0.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	6,153	0.595	$3,661.17	$-906.83	-19.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?	No	3,115	0.983	$3,060.72	$4.67	+0.2%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	1,022	0.470	$480.44	$-31.77	-6.2%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	293	0.675	$197.76	$4.39	+2.3%
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	1,010	0.004	$4.04	$-46.46	-92.0%
Squid FDV above $600M one day after launch	Yes	189	0.001	$0.09	$-0.28	-75.0%