dfadffdafs
0x1c78365e02c5fd66fff76ee950c10866ff6242e6
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$156
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
9%
219W / 2,220L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
9%
219W / 2,235L
Trades (30d)
2,454
across 276 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$0.57
avg win $28 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.11
$1,559 won / $1,403 lost
Reward / Risk
4.33
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$77
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,344 · all-time $2,756,571
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
9.9%
845W/7,732L
|
994 |
$5,648 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
18.0%
111W/504L
|
75 |
$403 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5? |
No |
91 |
0.170 |
$15.55 |
$7.55 |
+94.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
6 |
1.000 |
$6.47 |
$5.32 |
+464.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? |
No |
12 |
0.250 |
$2.95 |
$0.95 |
+47.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
141 |
0.004 |
$0.64 |
$-8.36 |
-92.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? |
No |
141 |
0.002 |
$0.21 |
$-8.78 |
-97.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
141 |
0.002 |
$0.21 |
$-8.79 |
-97.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
141 |
0.001 |
$0.07 |
$-8.93 |
-99.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 4? |
No |
141 |
0.001 |
$0.07 |
$-8.93 |
-99.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
141 |
0.001 |
$0.07 |
$-8.93 |
-99.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
141 |
0.001 |
$0.07 |
$-8.93 |
-99.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? |
No |
141 |
0.001 |
$0.07 |
$-8.93 |
-99.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on August 4? |
No |
141 |
0.001 |
$0.07 |
$-8.93 |
-99.2% |