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Trader leaderboard/sharingan-kakashi

sharingan-kakashi

0x1c708b8f85d1b58970dd8a57385a19b1792c4c51
PnL (30d)
−$20
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
8W / 5L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
21W / 15L
Trades (30d)
36
across 18 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.99
avg win $4 · loss $37
Profit Factor
0.45
$17 won / $37 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $285 · all-time $97,100

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.5% 8W/5L 18 $853
🏛 Politics 5 $74
⚽ Sports 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $19
🎬 Culture 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $19

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 505 0.980 $494.64 $26.34 +5.6%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 3,000 0.146 $439.50 $301.50 +218.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 275 0.675 $185.62 $13.93 +8.1%
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No 190 0.925 $175.81 $16.92 +10.6%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 150 0.977 $146.47 $7.73 +5.6%
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No 139 0.940 $130.85 $9.81 +8.1%
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No 155 0.835 $129.42 $1.73 +1.4%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,000 0.025 $127.00 $-23.00 -15.3%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 4,000 0.029 $118.00 $34.00 +40.5%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No 125 0.795 $99.37 $3.12 +3.2%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 124 0.785 $97.73 $2.46 +2.6%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No 95 0.971 $92.20 $5.76 +6.7%
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat? No 75 0.810 $60.75 $1.00 +1.7%
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? No 75 0.790 $59.25 $-0.75 -1.2%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,000 0.011 $57.50 $-77.50 -57.4%
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No 60 0.950 $57.00 $1.20 +2.2%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 56 0.957 $54.06 $7.22 +15.4%
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No 55 0.935 $51.42 $4.78 +10.2%
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? Yes 66 0.640 $42.21 $40.33 +2143.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? Yes 50 0.785 $39.26 $2.25 +6.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 40 0.914 $36.58 $-0.77 -2.1%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No 50 0.660 $33.00 $3.00 +10.0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,000 0.005 $27.50 $-7.50 -21.4%
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No 60 0.435 $26.10 $-4.80 -15.5%
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? No 21 0.945 $19.98 $0.90 +4.7%