PnL (30d)

−$1

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 11L · 640 open

Win Return (30d)

7%

48W / 602L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

651

across 8 markets · ~81 per market

EV / position

−$1.23

· loss $1

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $1 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/11L	10	$40
🏛 Politics	—	1	$2

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	16	0.886	$14.49	$5.22	+56.4%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	15	0.968	$14.27	$1.76	+14.1%
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	16	0.880	$13.86	$3.78	+37.5%
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	19	0.643	$12.54	$11.56	+1186.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	9	0.845	$7.77	$1.50	+23.9%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	6	0.745	$4.77	$0.61	+14.6%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	45	0.095	$4.29	$-8.35	-66.1%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	36	0.115	$4.08	$-5.49	-57.3%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	171	0.009	$1.62	$-3.22	-66.5%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	31	0.048	$1.45	$1.05	+265.4%
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	535	0.003	$1.34	$-5.11	-79.3%
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	5	0.250	$1.25	$-1.05	-45.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?	No	1	0.915	$1.11	$0.50	+83.0%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?	No	1	0.983	$0.98	$0.48	+96.5%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	536	0.002	$0.80	$-2.25	-73.7%
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	293	0.003	$0.73	$-0.15	-16.7%
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	429	0.002	$0.64	$-2.43	-79.1%
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	208	0.002	$0.42	$-4.58	-91.7%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	66	0.003	$0.16	$-0.03	-16.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?	Yes	1	0.085	$0.10	$-0.50	-83.0%
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	61	0.002	$0.09	$-0.32	-77.8%
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	55	0.002	$0.08	$-0.58	-87.5%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	31	0.003	$0.08	$-0.02	-16.7%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?	Yes	1	0.018	$0.02	$-0.48	-96.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	1	0.005	$0.01	$-0.52	-99.0%