| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
2,251 |
0.945 |
$2,126.91 |
$106.93 |
+5.3% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,715 |
0.875 |
$1,500.34 |
$-19.66 |
-1.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,303 |
0.645 |
$840.58 |
$40.58 |
+5.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
887 |
0.945 |
$838.64 |
$38.64 |
+4.8% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? |
No |
744 |
0.962 |
$715.69 |
$5.69 |
+0.8% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
768 |
0.914 |
$702.34 |
$2.34 |
+0.3% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
560 |
0.925 |
$518.31 |
$-1.69 |
-0.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
551 |
0.927 |
$511.06 |
$11.05 |
+2.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
275 |
0.770 |
$211.71 |
$11.70 |
+5.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
231 |
0.900 |
$207.98 |
$7.98 |
+4.0% |
| Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
214 |
0.912 |
$195.59 |
$-4.41 |
-2.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
109 |
0.935 |
$101.63 |
$1.63 |
+1.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
109 |
0.925 |
$100.55 |
$0.54 |
+0.5% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.945 |
$99.48 |
$-0.53 |
-0.5% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
112 |
0.875 |
$98.31 |
$-1.69 |
-1.7% |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.790 |
$9.29 |
$-0.71 |
-7.1% |
| Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.735 |
$8.71 |
$-1.29 |
-12.9% |