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Trader leaderboard/bernardbulletin

bernardbulletin

0x1c144e30f405a25f991cbd8baa15d40599090869
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2,627
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$991
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
322W / 106L · 1,505 open
Win Return (30d)
74%
1,425W / 497L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
1,933
across 193 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$28.87
avg win $166 · loss $428
Profit Factor
1.29
$11,615 won / $8,988 lost
Reward / Risk
0.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4,791
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $78,248 · all-time $5,522,965

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.7% 600W/742L 332 $264,999
🏛 Politics 74.4% 116W/40L 79 $59,750
🎬 Culture 78.4% 105W/29L 51 $24,004

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 63,185 0.356 $22,525.37 $8,117.48 +56.3%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 13,311 0.980 $13,038.58 $302.24 +2.4%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 15,836 0.603 $9,548.81 $-1,655.11 -14.8%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 13,750 0.675 $9,281.55 $417.88 +4.7%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 168,591 0.052 $8,851.05 $2,173.99 +32.6%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 93,757 0.086 $8,016.26 $4,044.60 +101.8%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 326,860 0.022 $7,354.35 $4,895.38 +199.1%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 608,714 0.009 $5,782.79 $304.36 +5.6%
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? No 4,220 0.925 $3,903.56 $261.16 +7.2%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 9,694 0.365 $3,538.16 $-242.34 -6.4%
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? No 3,742 0.945 $3,536.14 $56.33 +1.6%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No 7,436 0.440 $3,272.00 $608.59 +22.8%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 4,920 0.665 $3,271.52 $-24.60 -0.7%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 3,270 0.934 $3,054.04 $194.26 +6.8%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes 9,467 0.315 $2,982.17 $390.76 +15.1%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 2,659 0.983 $2,614.28 $1,457.39 +126.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat? Yes 2,793 0.935 $2,611.02 $69.81 +2.7%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 5,042 0.485 $2,445.59 $316.08 +14.8%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 3,011 0.765 $2,303.45 $45.17 +2.0%
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? Yes 2,350 0.885 $2,079.85 $1,827.15 +723.0%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 9,100 0.209 $1,906.47 $91.12 +5.0%
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 1,913 0.974 $1,863.08 $115.89 +6.6%
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 1,853 0.982 $1,819.21 $95.31 +5.5%
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 1,859 0.974 $1,810.19 $143.47 +8.6%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes 3,896 0.450 $1,753.36 $231.22 +15.2%