| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
1,874 |
0.625 |
$1,171.25 |
$1,171.25 |
+0.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
704 |
0.875 |
$616.22 |
$616.22 |
+0.0% |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
No |
527 |
0.850 |
$447.91 |
$447.91 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
352 |
0.942 |
$331.40 |
$331.40 |
+0.0% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
713 |
0.310 |
$221.03 |
$221.03 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? |
No |
263 |
0.660 |
$173.62 |
$173.62 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
159 |
0.725 |
$115.28 |
$115.28 |
+0.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
413 |
0.220 |
$90.83 |
$90.83 |
+0.0% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? |
Yes |
424 |
0.195 |
$82.68 |
$82.68 |
+0.0% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
96 |
0.595 |
$57.12 |
$57.12 |
+0.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? |
No |
59 |
0.796 |
$46.96 |
$46.96 |
+0.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
51 |
0.893 |
$45.39 |
$45.39 |
+0.0% |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? |
No |
88 |
0.500 |
$44.02 |
$44.02 |
+0.0% |
| Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? |
Yes |
144 |
0.285 |
$41.03 |
$41.03 |
+0.0% |
| Will TES be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? |
No |
41 |
0.954 |
$39.24 |
$39.24 |
+0.0% |
| Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election? |
No |
256 |
0.110 |
$28.16 |
$28.16 |
+0.0% |
| Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? |
No |
40 |
0.695 |
$27.80 |
$27.80 |
+0.0% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
53 |
0.515 |
$27.30 |
$27.30 |
+0.0% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? |
No |
37 |
0.710 |
$26.28 |
$26.28 |
+0.0% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
14 |
0.986 |
$13.40 |
$13.40 |
+0.0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
22 |
0.405 |
$8.91 |
$8.91 |
+0.0% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
Yes |
11 |
0.705 |
$8.05 |
$8.05 |
+0.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
61 |
0.125 |
$7.62 |
$7.62 |
+0.0% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.641 |
$6.32 |
$6.32 |
+0.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.993 |
$6.17 |
$6.17 |
+0.0% |