ashantip
0x1b4cc1e424c8cf8fd4b01fd5f910f82797f0d6a2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$9
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
13W / 21L · 117 open
Win Return (30d)
22%
32W / 115L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
151
across 32 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$1.07
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.14
$1 won / $10 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $768 · all-time $117,368
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? |
Yes |
78 |
0.380 |
$29.62 |
$-0.38 |
-1.3% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.730 |
$15.13 |
$0.12 |
+0.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
88 |
0.165 |
$14.56 |
$-0.44 |
-2.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
4 |
0.998 |
$3.99 |
$1.63 |
+69.1% |