| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
649 |
0.540 |
$350.78 |
$26.28 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
731 |
0.460 |
$335.77 |
$-22.22 |
-6.2% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
51 |
0.885 |
$45.07 |
$8.28 |
+22.5% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? |
Yes |
105 |
0.350 |
$36.72 |
$24.17 |
+192.6% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? |
Yes |
105 |
0.255 |
$26.80 |
$17.29 |
+181.7% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
23 |
0.935 |
$21.10 |
$2.10 |
+11.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
17 |
0.723 |
$11.99 |
$-1.01 |
-7.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.905 |
$9.05 |
$0.55 |
+6.5% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? |
Yes |
8 |
0.962 |
$7.44 |
$0.44 |
+6.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.988 |
$6.42 |
$0.42 |
+7.0% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? |
Yes |
80 |
0.069 |
$5.52 |
$0.40 |
+7.9% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.903 |
$5.36 |
$0.36 |
+7.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
6 |
0.555 |
$3.33 |
$0.33 |
+11.0% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? |
Yes |
12 |
0.255 |
$3.19 |
$-0.81 |
-20.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.177 |
$3.08 |
$-6.92 |
-69.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
3 |
0.865 |
$3.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.6% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? |
No |
3 |
0.892 |
$2.41 |
$0.41 |
+20.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.875 |
$2.36 |
$0.36 |
+18.2% |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.090 |
$2.25 |
$-0.80 |
-26.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.961 |
$2.15 |
$0.14 |
+7.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
17 |
0.117 |
$1.94 |
$-0.06 |
-2.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
3 |
0.615 |
$1.92 |
$0.92 |
+92.2% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? |
Yes |
5 |
0.335 |
$1.68 |
$0.88 |
+109.4% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? |
Yes |
18 |
0.081 |
$1.48 |
$0.43 |
+40.4% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? |
Yes |
9 |
0.155 |
$1.37 |
$-0.58 |
-29.7% |