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Trader

0x1aacf02365e0f2be274fb0330f312d8a0fa4d1e3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$12
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-22.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
5W / 9L
Win Return (30d)
36%
5W / 9L
Trades (30d)
14
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$2.05
avg win $2 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.28
$5 won / $17 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$17
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7 · all-time $269,322

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.2% 12W/14L 16 $158
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/9L 4 $22
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/7L 3 $9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 13 0.745 $9.84 $1.39 +16.4%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 11 0.740 $8.32 $-1.12 -11.9%
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No 4 0.979 $4.34 $-0.00 -0.1%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes 20 0.205 $4.07 $-4.07 -50.0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 137 0.015 $2.05 $0.96 +87.5%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 7 0.255 $1.90 $-1.45 -43.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 8 0.245 $1.84 $0.26 +16.7%
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes 12 0.120 $1.46 $-1.70 -53.8%
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes 7 0.200 $1.42 $-0.85 -37.5%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes 47 0.030 $1.40 $-2.33 -62.5%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 11 0.095 $1.05 $-3.81 -78.4%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes 10 0.080 $0.80 $-0.80 -50.0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 6 0.048 $0.31 $-0.79 -72.1%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes 2 0.085 $0.16 $-0.12 -43.3%