| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
7,628 |
0.986 |
$7,517.38 |
$157.92 |
+2.1% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
900 |
0.945 |
$850.49 |
$58.50 |
+7.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
800 |
0.835 |
$667.96 |
$76.00 |
+12.8% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
600 |
0.855 |
$513.00 |
$97.00 |
+23.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.969 |
$387.60 |
$59.60 |
+18.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.931 |
$372.40 |
$-8.80 |
-2.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.988 |
$296.25 |
$10.65 |
+3.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
400 |
0.465 |
$186.00 |
$-38.00 |
-17.0% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.905 |
$180.99 |
$45.00 |
+33.1% |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? |
No |
177 |
0.926 |
$163.77 |
$58.77 |
+56.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.785 |
$157.00 |
$-5.00 |
-3.1% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.785 |
$156.98 |
$70.99 |
+82.6% |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
100 |
0.945 |
$94.50 |
$46.50 |
+96.9% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
100 |
0.902 |
$90.25 |
$31.75 |
+54.3% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.435 |
$87.00 |
$-25.00 |
-22.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
100 |
0.790 |
$79.00 |
$-6.00 |
-7.1% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
100 |
0.785 |
$78.50 |
$18.50 |
+30.8% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
100 |
0.715 |
$71.50 |
$34.50 |
+93.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
52 |
0.925 |
$48.49 |
$2.36 |
+5.1% |
| Discord IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.295 |
$29.50 |
$-61.10 |
-67.4% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
80 |
0.105 |
$8.40 |
$-18.00 |
-68.2% |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
2 |
0.925 |
$1.78 |
$0.87 |
+96.8% |