Trader
0x19f45a25608cbf60f63a6bad50354b74e83bc772
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$849
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$25
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
485W / 965L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
34%
489W / 965L
Trades (30d)
1,454
across 160 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$5.40
avg win $62 · loss $27
Profit Factor
1.31
$3,557 won / $2,708 lost
Reward / Risk
2.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$430
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21,507 · all-time $540,348
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
33.1%
2,016W/4,077L
|
633 |
$45,335 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
15.6%
60W/324L
|
45 |
$1,810 |
|
⚽ Sports
|
0.0%
0W/15L
|
1 |
$145 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
126 |
1.000 |
$125.80 |
$22.24 |
+21.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
113 |
1.000 |
$112.94 |
$61.46 |
+119.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.00 |
$0.49 |
+10.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? |
Yes |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.00 |
$0.20 |
+4.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.00 |
$0.25 |
+5.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.00 |
$1.30 |
+35.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
5 |
0.985 |
$4.92 |
$0.78 |
+18.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? |
Yes |
5 |
0.975 |
$4.88 |
$1.52 |
+45.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
818 |
0.001 |
$0.41 |
$-40.29 |
-99.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? |
Yes |
119 |
0.001 |
$0.06 |
$-39.27 |
-99.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
108 |
0.001 |
$0.05 |
$-42.82 |
-99.9% |