PnL (30d)

−$20

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

13W / 12L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

19W / 13L

Trades (30d)

32

across 12 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$2.22

avg win $9 · loss $16

Profit Factor

0.70

$46 won / $66 lost

Reward / Risk

0.56

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$36

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.0% 13W/12L	12	$231
🏛 Politics	—	2	$14
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$6
💵 Economy	—	1	$5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	128	0.115	$14.71	$-40.29	-73.3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	10	0.515	$5.15	$0.05	+1.0%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	14	0.285	$4.05	$-0.92	-18.6%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	71	0.030	$2.18	$-22.82	-91.3%
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	10	0.017	$0.16	$-8.91	-98.2%