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Trader leaderboard/il1

il1

0x198a843b90e1a52d573c6021e2bd6c5d1a093ca3
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$31
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$18
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
3W / 0L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
7W / 3L
Trades (30d)
10
across 7 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$15.53
avg win $16
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,703 · all-time $1,719,487

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.5% 176W/147L 413 $114,026
🏛 Politics 33.3% 5W/10L 50 $8,025
💵 Economy 33.3% 1W/2L 21 $3,337
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 14 $1,501
🤖 Tech 100.0% 2W/0L 6 $553
🎬 Culture 4 $208
⚽ Sports 2 $543
🌤 Weather 1 $290
🔬 Science 1 $290

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 16,000 0.790 $12,648.00 $4,648.00 +58.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 5,000 0.935 $4,675.00 $546.87 +13.2%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 4,004 0.945 $3,784.16 $392.82 +11.6%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 16,000 0.209 $3,352.00 $-4,648.00 -58.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 4,000 0.835 $3,340.14 $266.89 +8.7%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 3,000 0.915 $2,745.00 $53.00 +2.0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 2,000 0.963 $1,925.02 $56.72 +3.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 2,000 0.957 $1,912.68 $151.63 +8.6%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 2,000 0.955 $1,910.00 $50.00 +2.7%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 2,000 0.935 $1,870.02 $72.03 +4.0%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 2,000 0.925 $1,850.00 $49.00 +2.7%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 1,701 0.948 $1,612.86 $49.36 +3.2%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 1,517 0.885 $1,342.55 $21.27 +1.6%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 1,032 0.968 $998.51 $28.39 +2.9%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 1,000 0.987 $986.50 $56.12 +6.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 1,000 0.985 $985.08 $17.18 +1.8%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 1,000 0.982 $981.49 $42.20 +4.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 1,000 0.961 $960.50 $15.50 +1.6%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 1,001 0.954 $954.76 $12.03 +1.3%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 940 0.940 $883.18 $17.02 +2.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 1,001 0.875 $875.70 $14.03 +1.6%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 1,000 0.852 $852.02 $171.19 +25.1%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 1,000 0.675 $674.98 $89.00 +15.2%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No 668 0.924 $617.14 $-0.79 -0.1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 804 0.615 $494.64 $-4.26 -0.9%