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Trader leaderboard/HerlihyM92

HerlihyM92

0x197040709ae61627d3685a8d6ce1f9e82e6b398d
PnL (30d)
−$257
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$551
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
15W / 31L · 189 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
123W / 112L
Trades (30d)
235
across 19 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$42.77
avg win $236 · loss $182
Profit Factor
0.65
$472 won / $729 lost
Reward / Risk
1.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $119 · all-time $1,186,239

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 32.6% 15W/31L 19 $30,778
🏛 Politics 1 $121

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 29,000 0.983 $28,506.93 $860.72 +3.1%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 10,400 0.941 $9,786.37 $125.26 +1.3%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 4,614 0.983 $4,533.66 $207.44 +4.8%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 1,400 0.823 $1,151.49 $844.24 +274.8%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 1,071 0.977 $1,045.67 $201.84 +23.9%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 2,500 0.395 $987.62 $-12.50 -1.2%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 1,000 0.987 $986.50 $36.50 +3.8%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 23,216 0.034 $789.36 $-1,115.65 -58.6%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 2,000 0.298 $597.00 $477.31 +398.8%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,710 0.335 $572.84 $-69.64 -10.8%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,050 0.515 $540.74 $-191.25 -26.1%
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? Yes 1,888 0.285 $537.89 $-434.95 -44.7%
X banned in any European country by December 31? No 582 0.845 $491.79 $45.03 +10.1%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 1,300 0.325 $422.48 $-26.49 -5.9%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 300 0.850 $255.00 $107.89 +73.3%
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes 256 0.935 $239.76 $47.83 +24.9%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 7,500 0.029 $221.25 $82.26 +59.2%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 400 0.460 $183.80 $27.40 +17.5%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 200 0.865 $173.00 $17.00 +10.9%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 150 0.956 $143.40 $26.40 +22.6%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 11,000 0.013 $143.00 $-88.00 -38.1%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 5,000 0.025 $127.00 $-38.97 -23.5%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 120 0.945 $113.42 $15.00 +15.2%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 111 0.965 $107.11 $57.16 +114.4%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes 200 0.515 $103.00 $-15.00 -12.7%