Leon8899
0x19344b25b205a60fa61fa99621f01a22df3c0a4b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
13%
2W / 13L
Trades (30d)
15
across 4 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,634,402
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
Yes |
272,258 |
0.045 |
$12,251.60 |
$-9,848.10 |
-44.6% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
58,064 |
0.024 |
$1,364.50 |
$-3,274.17 |
-70.6% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
1,666 |
0.062 |
$104.10 |
$-10.21 |
-8.9% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.051 |
$77.26 |
$4.54 |
+6.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.075 |
$37.50 |
$-17.50 |
-31.8% |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? |
Yes |
2,075 |
0.017 |
$34.24 |
$1.52 |
+4.6% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,253 |
0.004 |
$11.39 |
$-187.50 |
-94.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
70 |
0.145 |
$10.15 |
$-1.05 |
-9.4% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
No |
55 |
0.075 |
$4.12 |
$0.27 |
+7.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.095 |
$0.47 |
$-0.78 |
-62.0% |