PnL (30d)

+$78

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$43

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+14.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

36W / 28L · 105 open

Win Return (30d)

51%

86W / 83L

Trades (30d)

169

across 39 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$3.70

avg win $13 · loss $11

Profit Factor

1.87

$167 won / $89 lost

Reward / Risk

1.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.2% 36W/28L	39	$1,018
🏛 Politics	—	5	$93
⚽ Sports	—	4	$35

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	150	0.465	$69.70	$37.42	+115.9%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.595	$59.50	$1.00	+1.7%
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	520	0.064	$33.02	$-22.14	-40.1%
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	61	0.398	$24.44	$14.82	+154.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	253	0.086	$21.63	$2.45	+12.8%
Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera?	Yes	27	0.730	$19.94	$16.54	+485.3%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	109	0.110	$12.02	$-1.68	-12.2%
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?	Yes	40	0.285	$11.39	$-0.60	-5.0%
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	No	210	0.029	$6.20	$-6.57	-51.4%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	80	0.074	$5.92	$-3.45	-36.8%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	10	0.590	$5.90	$1.40	+31.1%
Will Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	470	0.011	$4.93	$3.93	+393.2%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	No	20	0.218	$4.37	$0.17	+4.0%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	22	0.094	$2.07	$-1.99	-49.1%
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?	No	40	0.043	$1.72	$-0.08	-4.7%
Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	355	0.004	$1.60	$0.60	+59.9%
Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	44	0.025	$1.07	$0.53	+97.6%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	10	0.072	$0.73	$-0.68	-48.3%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	95	0.003	$0.24	$-5.73	-96.0%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.013	$0.12	$-1.19	-90.5%
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	72	0.002	$0.11	$-4.04	-97.4%
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	5	0.004	$0.02	$-0.33	-93.6%