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Trader leaderboard/trerira

trerira

0x18abbfdb265d3221669cd1fabc0b2d00890bbae4
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$46
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$546
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L · 176 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
158W / 19L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
180
across 30 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$15.33
avg win $15
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,936 · all-time $509,851

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 87.5% 14W/2L 46 $51,266
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 14 $5,755
₿ Crypto 6 $12,127
🎬 Culture 2 $754
🤖 Tech 1 $166

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 7,639 0.942 $7,191.66 $11.82 +0.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No 5,617 0.979 $5,496.34 $98.53 +1.8%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 3,383 0.948 $3,207.11 $3.38 +0.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 3,400 0.935 $3,179.00 $26.01 +0.8%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 6,400 0.460 $2,940.75 $326.32 +12.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,885 0.978 $2,820.17 $108.88 +4.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,635 0.966 $2,545.28 $-4.78 -0.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 7,400 0.278 $2,053.63 $105.51 +5.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,900 0.976 $1,854.39 $31.10 +1.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,000 0.755 $1,510.00 $-50.00 -3.2%
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? No 1,459 0.971 $1,416.69 $30.64 +2.2%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 1,200 0.935 $1,122.00 $8.00 +0.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 1,111 0.985 $1,093.69 $19.88 +1.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.964 $963.50 $13.50 +1.4%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes 1,002 0.962 $963.46 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 938 0.980 $918.92 $3.33 +0.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,011 0.845 $853.97 $-5.05 -0.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No 544 0.976 $530.43 $8.68 +1.7%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,440 0.209 $511.18 $28.06 +5.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 501 0.977 $488.98 $3.25 +0.7%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.915 $457.50 $7.50 +1.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 503 0.885 $445.30 $-12.58 -2.7%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 505 0.765 $386.05 $-2.52 -0.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,440 0.135 $328.19 $-13.63 -4.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? Yes 301 0.945 $284.18 $1.50 +0.5%