| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.375 |
$187.50 |
$150.50 |
+406.8% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
645 |
0.095 |
$61.26 |
$-30.96 |
-33.6% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
199 |
0.295 |
$58.71 |
$-19.29 |
-24.7% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
100 |
0.405 |
$40.50 |
$6.50 |
+19.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
1,930 |
0.019 |
$37.63 |
$-50.87 |
-57.5% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.009 |
$34.00 |
$-2.00 |
-5.6% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.065 |
$32.50 |
$-6.50 |
-16.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
209 |
0.115 |
$24.07 |
$-35.93 |
-59.9% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.017 |
$17.00 |
$-20.00 |
-54.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
200 |
0.070 |
$14.00 |
$-32.00 |
-69.6% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.065 |
$13.00 |
$-26.00 |
-66.7% |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
7,190 |
0.002 |
$10.78 |
$-3.59 |
-25.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? |
Yes |
300 |
0.035 |
$10.35 |
$-4.65 |
-31.0% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.018 |
$8.75 |
$-26.25 |
-75.0% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.075 |
$7.50 |
$-1.50 |
-16.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.036 |
$7.20 |
$-4.80 |
-40.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.037 |
$5.62 |
$-32.67 |
-85.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.050 |
$5.00 |
$-7.20 |
-59.0% |