PnL (30d)

−$249

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$914

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

25W / 15L · 47 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

37W / 50L

Trades (30d)

87

across 28 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$10.84

avg win $153 · loss $137

Profit Factor

0.86

$1,534 won / $1,783 lost

Reward / Risk

1.12

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.5% 25W/15L	28	$17,046
🏛 Politics	—	2	$1,531
🎬 Culture	—	1	$11
🌤 Weather	—	1	$11
🔬 Science	—	1	$11

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	3,076	0.675	$2,076.33	$432.56	+26.3%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.515	$515.00	$-85.00	-14.2%
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	777	0.635	$493.27	$27.88	+6.0%
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	500	0.305	$152.50	$-22.50	-12.9%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	8	0.047	$0.37	$0.05	+14.6%