PnL (30d)

−$22

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$30

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

80W / 152L · 33 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

99W / 162L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

265

across 26 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

−$1.01

avg win $15 · loss $12

Profit Factor

0.86

$133 won / $155 lost

Reward / Risk

1.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$107

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	34.5% 80W/152L	26	$1,299
🏛 Politics	41.4% 41W/58L	8	$472
🎬 Culture	41.4% 41W/58L	8	$472

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	600	0.085	$51.00	$-9.00	-15.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.021	$20.50	$-1.50	-6.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	582	0.032	$18.34	$-19.44	-51.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.003	$2.50	$-12.82	-83.7%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	2,000	0.001	$1.00	$-9.25	-90.2%