PnL (30d)

−$261

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$121

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-113.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 21L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

13W / 21L

Trades (30d)

34

across 5 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$87.08

· loss $87

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $261 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$167

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	34.7% 95W/179L	33	$41,022
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/10L	1	$167
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/10L	1	$167

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	58,000	0.790	$45,849.00	$16,849.00	+58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	58,000	0.209	$12,151.00	$-16,849.00	-58.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	8,699	0.957	$8,324.48	$968.32	+13.2%
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	1,233	0.210	$258.93	$-123.30	-32.3%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	966	0.180	$173.91	$-173.91	-50.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	3,238	0.037	$121.42	$-77.68	-39.0%
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	44	0.845	$37.02	$-0.29	-0.8%
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?	No	30	0.915	$27.45	$3.45	+14.4%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	151	0.095	$14.30	$-20.33	-58.7%
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	9	0.070	$0.64	$-0.27	-30.0%