| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
99 |
0.875 |
$86.88 |
$-0.07 |
-0.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
211 |
0.385 |
$81.19 |
$57.82 |
+247.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
44 |
0.675 |
$29.56 |
$2.18 |
+8.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.680 |
$27.36 |
$0.89 |
+3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
33 |
0.615 |
$20.16 |
$-6.74 |
-25.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.905 |
$16.22 |
$2.06 |
+14.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
16 |
0.969 |
$15.16 |
$0.46 |
+3.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
17 |
0.745 |
$12.57 |
$4.30 |
+52.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
19 |
0.600 |
$11.41 |
$3.04 |
+36.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
13 |
0.845 |
$11.31 |
$0.18 |
+1.6% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
10 |
0.997 |
$10.27 |
$0.38 |
+3.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
10 |
0.920 |
$8.76 |
$0.40 |
+4.7% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.875 |
$8.31 |
$-0.35 |
-4.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
8 |
0.910 |
$7.10 |
$2.78 |
+64.3% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.982 |
$6.46 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
6 |
0.865 |
$5.34 |
$0.28 |
+5.5% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher? |
No |
3 |
0.984 |
$2.92 |
$0.01 |
+0.4% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? |
Yes |
16 |
0.145 |
$2.30 |
$-5.70 |
-71.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.835 |
$1.71 |
$0.07 |
+4.4% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? |
No |
1 |
0.945 |
$1.19 |
$-0.01 |
-0.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
1 |
0.997 |
$1.05 |
$0.05 |
+4.8% |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.910 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+3.4% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.989 |
$1.02 |
$0.01 |
+0.9% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.915 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.954 |
$1.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.3% |