| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
199 |
0.830 |
$164.80 |
$33.25 |
+25.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.950 |
$47.50 |
$1.20 |
+2.6% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
No |
50 |
0.945 |
$47.25 |
$4.22 |
+9.8% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? |
Yes |
30 |
0.994 |
$29.82 |
$0.03 |
+0.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
30 |
0.987 |
$29.59 |
$1.00 |
+3.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.962 |
$28.84 |
$-0.23 |
-0.8% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.825 |
$28.23 |
$3.33 |
+13.4% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.925 |
$27.75 |
$3.75 |
+15.6% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
35 |
0.765 |
$26.77 |
$5.42 |
+25.4% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
30 |
0.890 |
$26.70 |
$3.60 |
+15.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
30 |
0.825 |
$24.75 |
$-2.15 |
-8.0% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
25 |
0.959 |
$23.97 |
$0.49 |
+2.1% |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30? |
No |
30 |
0.775 |
$23.25 |
$-3.95 |
-14.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
60 |
0.345 |
$20.69 |
$5.69 |
+38.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.655 |
$19.65 |
$-2.15 |
-9.9% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
20 |
0.970 |
$19.39 |
$-0.03 |
-0.2% |
| Will there be at least 15,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.540 |
$10.80 |
$0.60 |
+5.9% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.975 |
$9.74 |
$0.24 |
+2.6% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
10 |
0.945 |
$9.45 |
$0.45 |
+5.0% |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
10 |
0.933 |
$9.33 |
$0.03 |
+0.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.853 |
$8.41 |
$1.23 |
+17.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
18 |
0.461 |
$8.29 |
$-5.70 |
-40.7% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.798 |
$7.98 |
$0.76 |
+10.5% |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
No |
10 |
0.785 |
$7.85 |
$0.75 |
+10.6% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
10 |
0.775 |
$7.75 |
$0.18 |
+2.4% |