PnL (30d)

−$46,461

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,710

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

3,106W / 3,052L · 244 open

Win Return (30d)

51%

3,255W / 3,144L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

6,402

across 645 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

−$82.52

avg win $222 · loss $544

Profit Factor

0.62

$75,404 won / $121,865 lost

Reward / Risk

0.41

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,451

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.4% 3,106W/3,052L	645	$966,847
💵 Economy	59.0% 108W/75L	106	$16,717
₿ Crypto	61.5% 64W/40L	86	$13,694

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

81 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Micron (MU) close at $720-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	No	1,151	0.930	$1,070.53	$21.82	+2.1%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	1,890	0.350	$661.37	$-85.01	-11.4%
Will Micron (MU) close at $780-$800 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	No	681	0.890	$606.30	$3.41	+0.6%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $151 Week of August 3 2026?	No	708	0.825	$584.10	$456.80	+358.8%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of August 3 2026?	No	589	0.940	$553.52	$31.62	+6.1%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?	Yes	656	0.805	$528.13	$154.60	+41.4%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	516	0.915	$472.46	$369.19	+357.5%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $150 Week of August 3 2026?	No	519	0.885	$459.72	$49.35	+12.0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026?	No	441	0.915	$403.61	$14.36	+3.7%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $174 in August?	Yes	444	0.895	$397.23	$152.82	+62.5%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in August?	Yes	446	0.890	$396.92	$58.38	+17.2%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	753	0.500	$376.50	$-85.57	-18.5%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 3 2026?	No	399	0.870	$346.99	$114.97	+49.5%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $176 in August?	Yes	298	0.934	$278.48	$129.92	+87.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	560	0.465	$260.50	$-132.98	-33.8%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	400	0.650	$260.00	$86.04	+49.5%
Will Micron (MU) close at >$900 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	No	437	0.575	$251.15	$50.23	+25.0%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $97.50 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	442	0.560	$247.57	$146.52	+145.0%
Will Micron (MU) close above $860 end of August?	No	607	0.395	$239.59	$3.03	+1.3%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	324	0.715	$231.44	$166.26	+255.1%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 3 2026?	No	229	0.930	$212.62	$93.82	+79.0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August?	Yes	462	0.455	$210.43	$67.77	+47.5%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of August 3 2026?	No	332	0.600	$199.49	$-45.89	-18.7%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?	No	322	0.540	$173.88	$14.42	+9.0%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	726	0.200	$145.16	$-56.68	-28.1%