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Trader leaderboard/36oldtiger

36oldtiger

0x16ce1f954bfae560af862712fad9dd261f4ceba1
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$95
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
1%
25W / 2,718L · 58 open
Win Return (30d)
2%
69W / 2,726L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
2,801
across 316 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$0.32
avg win $327 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.11
$981 won / $886 lost
Reward / Risk
109.29
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$376
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $206,833 · all-time $15,192,019

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 7.5% 925W/11,474L 1343 $200,945
⚽ Sports 21.7% 216W/779L 118 $33,553
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/1,035L 109 $404

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

56 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 4,665 0.013 $58.31 $-58.38 -50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? Yes 500 0.043 $21.70 $16.70 +334.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? Yes 500 0.035 $17.70 $11.70 +195.0%
Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 1,275 0.013 $16.57 $1.41 +9.3%
Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 3,446 0.004 $15.51 $-45.91 -74.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6? Yes 300 0.040 $12.00 $5.00 +71.4%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 7? Yes 274 0.030 $8.22 $5.48 +200.0%
Will James Harden play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? Yes 172 0.038 $6.55 $6.38 +3700.0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 6? Yes 984 0.006 $5.90 $-2.46 -29.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 6? Yes 692 0.007 $5.19 $0.87 +20.2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 7? Yes 478 0.011 $5.02 $0.24 +5.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 6? Yes 1,000 0.005 $5.00 $-0.99 -16.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 6? Yes 226 0.015 $3.50 $2.82 +416.7%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 6? Yes 564 0.005 $3.10 $1.98 +175.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 6? Yes 203 0.015 $3.05 $0.43 +16.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 7? Yes 300 0.010 $3.00 $-1.50 -33.3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 39°C or higher on August 7? Yes 1,000 0.003 $3.00 $1.00 +50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 6? Yes 477 0.006 $2.86 $-1.91 -40.0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 7? Yes 131 0.020 $2.63 $1.31 +100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 7? Yes 500 0.005 $2.50 $-2.50 -50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on August 7? Yes 1,000 0.003 $2.50 $0.50 +25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 6? Yes 118 0.020 $2.37 $1.18 +100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on August 6? Yes 707 0.003 $2.12 $0.92 +76.0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on August 7? Yes 1,000 0.002 $2.00 $1.00 +100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 40°C on August 7? Yes 126 0.015 $1.89 $0.63 +50.0%