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Trader leaderboard/0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243

0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243

0x16c7337106a0b3a06ff863a1c06d8e2cbf7322cd
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$68
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
141W / 123L · 143 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
181W / 225L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
407
across 56 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$1.73
avg win $26 · loss $34
Profit Factor
1.13
$605 won / $538 lost
Reward / Risk
0.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$75
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $43,601 · all-time $1,610,697

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.6% 11,577W/10,031L 6603 $268,162
🌤 Weather 46.6% 501W/573L 385 $7,031
⚽ Sports 39.5% 156W/239L 249 $3,896
🏛 Politics 42.3% 74W/101L 66 $7,305
🎬 Culture 32.9% 47W/96L 38 $1,366
💵 Economy 42.9% 15W/20L 16 $3,987
₿ Crypto 50.0% 7W/7L 8 $259
🤖 Tech 16.7% 3W/15L 5 $139

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

65 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? No 261 1.000 $260.94 $20.75 +8.6%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? No 254 0.997 $253.30 $1.02 +0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? No 254 0.965 $245.17 $28.43 +13.1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 5? No 240 1.000 $239.67 $1.28 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? No 259 0.735 $190.45 $46.64 +32.4%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on August 5? No 190 1.000 $189.98 $0.09 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 5? No 107 1.000 $106.92 $106.92 +0.0%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 159 0.485 $77.02 $0.79 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? No 254 0.285 $72.38 $-72.65 -50.1%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? No 208 0.171 $35.38 $-20.65 -36.9%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No 79 0.375 $29.53 $0.59 +2.0%
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? No 86 0.300 $25.80 $25.80 +0.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 20 0.984 $19.67 $19.67 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $19.17 $19.17 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $19.17 $19.17 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 5? No 19 1.000 $19.17 $19.17 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $19.17 $0.03 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $19.17 $19.17 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? No 19 1.000 $19.17 $19.17 +0.0%
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? Yes 20 0.955 $19.10 $19.10 +0.0%
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? Yes 14 0.940 $13.16 $13.16 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $5.00 +0.0%
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? Yes 5 0.960 $4.80 $4.80 +0.0%
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No 37 0.130 $4.78 $4.78 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? No 17 0.170 $2.92 $2.92 +0.0%