| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
8,320 |
0.465 |
$3,868.93 |
$-587.79 |
-13.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
946 |
0.925 |
$875.05 |
$121.15 |
+16.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
948 |
0.921 |
$873.22 |
$11.54 |
+1.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
902 |
0.940 |
$847.53 |
$80.68 |
+10.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
875 |
0.941 |
$823.08 |
$7.23 |
+0.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
860 |
0.935 |
$804.46 |
$44.73 |
+5.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
847 |
0.815 |
$689.96 |
$17.65 |
+2.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
812 |
0.835 |
$678.27 |
$13.97 |
+2.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
663 |
0.942 |
$624.35 |
$16.19 |
+2.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
684 |
0.870 |
$595.34 |
$-5.68 |
-0.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
510 |
0.940 |
$479.40 |
$10.60 |
+2.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
506 |
0.940 |
$475.58 |
$204.12 |
+75.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.935 |
$467.50 |
$2.50 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
450 |
0.905 |
$407.25 |
$44.25 |
+12.2% |
| Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
Yes |
493 |
0.795 |
$391.99 |
$-12.33 |
-3.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
419 |
0.935 |
$391.93 |
$12.97 |
+3.4% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
400 |
0.926 |
$370.59 |
$28.60 |
+8.4% |
| Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? |
Yes |
314 |
0.918 |
$288.41 |
$-13.74 |
-4.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? |
No |
280 |
0.954 |
$266.71 |
$5.87 |
+2.3% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
266 |
0.983 |
$261.33 |
$5.33 |
+2.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.940 |
$235.00 |
$1.50 |
+0.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.750 |
$225.00 |
$-18.00 |
-7.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
219 |
0.968 |
$211.62 |
$11.62 |
+5.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.970 |
$194.00 |
$6.20 |
+3.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.935 |
$187.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.5% |