| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
4,762 |
0.353 |
$1,683.20 |
$1,064.91 |
+172.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.845 |
$845.00 |
$255.00 |
+43.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.815 |
$814.90 |
$60.90 |
+8.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
500 |
0.715 |
$357.50 |
$67.50 |
+23.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.245 |
$245.00 |
$35.00 |
+16.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? |
Yes |
222 |
0.627 |
$139.28 |
$0.33 |
+0.2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
400 |
0.275 |
$110.00 |
$-34.00 |
-23.6% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
No |
614 |
0.075 |
$46.01 |
$-9.20 |
-16.7% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
590 |
0.045 |
$26.55 |
$-53.11 |
-66.7% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
955 |
0.027 |
$25.78 |
$-292.22 |
-91.9% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.240 |
$24.00 |
$-26.00 |
-52.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
472 |
0.044 |
$21.00 |
$-14.67 |
-41.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100 |
0.144 |
$14.45 |
$6.15 |
+74.1% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.039 |
$11.70 |
$-10.20 |
-46.6% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.003 |
$5.00 |
$-3.00 |
-37.5% |
| Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
2,615 |
0.002 |
$3.92 |
$-8.90 |
-69.4% |