PnL (30d)

−$247,919

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4,678

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-75.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

1,212W / 412L · 197 open

Win Return (30d)

77%

1,409W / 412L

Trades (30d)

1,821

across 30 markets · ~61 per market

EV / position

−$9,916.76

avg win $6,508 · loss $30,822

Profit Factor

0.27

$91,118 won / $339,037 lost

Reward / Risk

0.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$50

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	74.6% 1,212W/412L	30	$491,060
🏛 Politics	100.0% 6W/0L	1	$746
💵 Economy	100.0% 6W/0L	1	$746

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	3,750	0.855	$3,206.25	$1,293.75	+67.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4,893	0.365	$1,786.02	$366.99	+25.9%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	No	2,235	0.680	$1,520.11	$89.42	+6.2%