| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
4,900 |
0.835 |
$4,091.50 |
$566.63 |
+16.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2,100 |
0.963 |
$2,022.28 |
$147.10 |
+7.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
2,367 |
0.625 |
$1,479.12 |
$11.83 |
+0.8% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
1,500 |
0.945 |
$1,417.51 |
$80.84 |
+6.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
1,218 |
0.976 |
$1,187.90 |
$141.81 |
+13.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
1,000 |
0.974 |
$973.25 |
$23.97 |
+2.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
1,400 |
0.685 |
$958.92 |
$52.82 |
+5.8% |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? |
No |
687 |
0.930 |
$638.77 |
$63.58 |
+11.1% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.938 |
$562.50 |
$35.57 |
+6.8% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
2,069 |
0.265 |
$548.15 |
$-249.79 |
-31.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.755 |
$528.48 |
$44.50 |
+9.2% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
428 |
0.970 |
$414.67 |
$10.72 |
+2.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.655 |
$393.00 |
$67.00 |
+20.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
720 |
0.520 |
$374.56 |
$138.27 |
+58.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
364 |
0.986 |
$358.72 |
$-0.11 |
-0.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
410 |
0.855 |
$350.43 |
$92.22 |
+35.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.875 |
$350.00 |
$34.00 |
+10.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
400 |
0.805 |
$322.00 |
$108.00 |
+50.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.977 |
$292.95 |
$16.95 |
+6.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
No |
317 |
0.870 |
$275.42 |
$4.29 |
+1.6% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
375 |
0.705 |
$264.38 |
$60.38 |
+29.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
400 |
0.620 |
$247.73 |
$94.06 |
+61.2% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? |
No |
271 |
0.905 |
$244.97 |
$1.41 |
+0.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.875 |
$174.99 |
$65.00 |
+59.1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,800 |
0.095 |
$171.00 |
$-219.85 |
-56.2% |