| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
8,744 |
0.845 |
$7,388.68 |
$958.17 |
+14.9% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,747 |
0.300 |
$1,724.16 |
$-897.04 |
-34.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,525 |
0.980 |
$1,494.55 |
$94.55 |
+6.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
999 |
0.935 |
$934.07 |
$34.97 |
+3.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,332 |
0.640 |
$852.47 |
$47.75 |
+5.9% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
777 |
0.935 |
$726.50 |
$27.19 |
+3.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,904 |
0.375 |
$714.06 |
$-57.83 |
-7.5% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? |
No |
900 |
0.770 |
$693.00 |
$-12.00 |
-1.7% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
824 |
0.785 |
$646.97 |
$207.47 |
+47.2% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? |
No |
961 |
0.670 |
$644.08 |
$163.08 |
+33.9% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
4,812 |
0.105 |
$505.25 |
$-29.20 |
-5.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
633 |
0.745 |
$471.78 |
$72.83 |
+18.3% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? |
No |
1,771 |
0.260 |
$460.49 |
$-542.93 |
-54.1% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? |
No |
707 |
0.435 |
$307.45 |
$-122.28 |
-28.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
777 |
0.340 |
$264.18 |
$-85.47 |
-24.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,586 |
0.125 |
$198.26 |
$-245.85 |
-55.4% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
219 |
0.830 |
$182.18 |
$47.06 |
+34.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
277 |
0.635 |
$175.90 |
$65.09 |
+58.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
177 |
0.710 |
$125.86 |
$8.86 |
+7.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
146 |
0.820 |
$119.39 |
$19.39 |
+19.4% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
No |
258 |
0.455 |
$117.44 |
$7.44 |
+6.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
777 |
0.117 |
$90.52 |
$-44.79 |
-33.1% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
No |
113 |
0.740 |
$83.64 |
$19.22 |
+29.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
444 |
0.165 |
$73.26 |
$-126.54 |
-63.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.530 |
$53.00 |
$9.00 |
+20.5% |