| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5,000 |
0.835 |
$4,174.96 |
$-93.96 |
-2.2% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
4,000 |
0.987 |
$3,948.00 |
$189.63 |
+5.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
1,650 |
0.940 |
$1,550.98 |
$284.00 |
+22.4% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.945 |
$1,039.50 |
$103.50 |
+11.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.675 |
$1,012.53 |
$107.51 |
+11.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
1,000 |
0.963 |
$962.50 |
$3.50 |
+0.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
700 |
0.987 |
$690.54 |
$26.95 |
+4.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.645 |
$645.01 |
$36.00 |
+5.9% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
975 |
0.645 |
$629.12 |
$-135.16 |
-17.7% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
810 |
0.625 |
$506.25 |
$-69.34 |
-12.0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.900 |
$450.01 |
$22.10 |
+5.2% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.994 |
$397.60 |
$37.60 |
+10.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.356 |
$391.60 |
$-4.40 |
-1.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
300 |
1.000 |
$299.85 |
$41.85 |
+16.2% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? |
No |
320 |
0.820 |
$262.78 |
$25.64 |
+10.8% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
No |
290 |
0.888 |
$257.47 |
$-0.43 |
-0.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
343 |
0.745 |
$255.69 |
$25.46 |
+11.1% |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? |
Yes |
787 |
0.320 |
$251.82 |
$-145.39 |
-36.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.981 |
$196.11 |
$0.14 |
+0.1% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
200 |
0.950 |
$190.00 |
$12.00 |
+6.7% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? |
No |
401 |
0.460 |
$184.64 |
$-83.49 |
-31.1% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
251 |
0.410 |
$102.90 |
$-20.08 |
-16.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.964 |
$96.35 |
$9.16 |
+10.5% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
81 |
0.973 |
$79.22 |
$-0.29 |
-0.4% |
| Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? |
Yes |
91 |
0.775 |
$70.71 |
$3.19 |
+4.7% |