PnL (30d)

−$15,038

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4,299

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-48.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

25%

8W / 24L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

13W / 32L

Trades (30d)

45

across 23 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$791.50

avg win $2,105 · loss $1,132

Profit Factor

0.22

$4,210 won / $19,248 lost

Reward / Risk

1.86

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3,384

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	25.0% 8W/24L	23	$48,956
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/3L	2	$3,384

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	539,072	0.015	$8,355.61	$-4,798.28	-36.5%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	169,321	0.029	$4,994.96	$-11,899.19	-70.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	42,492	0.029	$1,211.03	$-454.67	-27.3%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	9,760	0.026	$253.77	$-146.22	-36.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5,455	0.045	$245.45	$-354.54	-59.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5,512	0.034	$187.42	$-112.58	-37.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	3,270	0.036	$119.34	$-80.66	-40.3%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	14,176	0.004	$56.70	$-33.28	-37.0%
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	No	115	0.300	$34.62	$4.62	+15.4%
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?	Yes	108	0.104	$11.26	$-8.74	-43.7%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	909	0.006	$5.45	$-4.55	-45.5%
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	2,034	0.002	$3.05	$-146.95	-98.0%