Trader
0x14e296e208258247e8631c4749ce273d5342282f
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$228
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$27
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+27.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
14W / 7L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
15W / 7L
Trades (30d)
22
across 8 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$32.53
avg win $67 · loss $14
Profit Factor
6.43
$270 won / $42 lost
Reward / Risk
4.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$31
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $24,975 · all-time $1,429,868
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? |
No |
607 |
1.000 |
$606.42 |
$109.49 |
+22.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
544 |
0.994 |
$540.02 |
$40.02 |
+8.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
262 |
0.890 |
$233.20 |
$-2.80 |
-1.2% |