| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
862 |
0.025 |
$21.90 |
$-64.32 |
-74.6% |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
4,469 |
0.003 |
$11.17 |
$-2.74 |
-19.7% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? |
Yes |
171 |
0.065 |
$11.14 |
$-0.86 |
-7.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
47 |
0.209 |
$9.75 |
$1.53 |
+18.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.955 |
$9.56 |
$0.56 |
+6.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? |
Yes |
20 |
0.410 |
$8.08 |
$0.08 |
+1.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.945 |
$7.11 |
$0.11 |
+1.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.455 |
$7.04 |
$3.04 |
+76.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
52 |
0.135 |
$6.97 |
$0.51 |
+7.8% |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2,328 |
0.003 |
$5.82 |
$-1.18 |
-16.9% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.845 |
$5.78 |
$2.33 |
+67.4% |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2,131 |
0.003 |
$5.33 |
$-3.04 |
-36.3% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.775 |
$5.22 |
$0.22 |
+4.5% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
6 |
0.720 |
$4.38 |
$1.68 |
+62.4% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
No |
5 |
0.945 |
$4.29 |
$0.69 |
+19.2% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? |
No |
4 |
0.860 |
$3.56 |
$0.41 |
+13.2% |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
1,873 |
0.002 |
$2.81 |
$-8.49 |
-75.1% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
273 |
0.009 |
$2.60 |
$-0.55 |
-17.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? |
No |
3 |
0.932 |
$2.55 |
$-0.03 |
-1.3% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.155 |
$2.40 |
$-5.64 |
-70.2% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
48 |
0.050 |
$2.36 |
$0.36 |
+17.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
4 |
0.535 |
$2.33 |
$-0.41 |
-15.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
4 |
0.495 |
$2.22 |
$0.83 |
+59.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.984 |
$2.07 |
$0.07 |
+3.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.940 |
$1.98 |
$-0.02 |
-1.1% |