PnL (30d)

−$216

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$250

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-16.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

53W / 73L · 79 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

62W / 141L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

205

across 58 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$5.40

avg win $10 · loss $14

Profit Factor

0.39

$136 won / $352 lost

Reward / Risk

0.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$241

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	42.1% 53W/73L	58	$2,520
🏛 Politics	80.0% 8W/2L	5	$983
🎬 Culture	81.8% 9W/2L	3	$828
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/14L	3	$82
🤖 Tech	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$61
🔬 Science	—	1	$61
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	712	0.021	$14.95	$-127.46	-89.5%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?	Yes	390	0.028	$10.72	$-41.67	-79.5%
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?	Yes	272	0.025	$6.92	$-4.79	-40.9%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%?	Yes	157	0.025	$3.92	$2.04	+108.3%
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 12–16%?	Yes	483	0.004	$1.93	$-0.48	-20.0%
Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-1.50	-75.0%
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	100	0.004	$0.45	$-0.55	-55.0%
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-0.75	-83.3%
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-37.85	-99.6%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	Yes	30	0.003	$0.09	$-13.78	-99.4%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-23.85	-99.8%
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%?	Yes	96	0.001	$0.05	$-0.72	-93.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?	Yes	50	0.001	$0.03	$-2.27	-98.9%