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Trader leaderboard/g0o248a9wfh5

g0o248a9wfh5

0x13a61aa87efbb67006019d584438b054a503c34d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
44W / 22L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
51W / 30L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
82
across 20 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.18
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.69
$5 won / $8 lost
Reward / Risk
0.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $529 · all-time $30,279

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.0% 362W/252L 209 $1,666
⚽ Sports 58.4% 118W/84L 59 $519
🏛 Politics 50.0% 4W/4L 4 $42
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $9
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 15 0.941 $14.05 $1.47 +11.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 9 0.885 $7.54 $1.21 +19.1%
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? Yes 6 0.935 $5.38 $0.14 +2.7%
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? Yes 7 0.620 $4.43 $-0.57 -11.4%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 4 0.987 $3.98 $0.17 +4.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes 18 0.145 $2.54 $-3.06 -54.7%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes 7 0.350 $2.35 $-0.73 -23.6%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes 7 0.285 $1.97 $-1.03 -34.3%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 2 0.945 $1.89 $0.39 +26.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 2 0.765 $1.89 $-0.11 -5.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 1 0.940 $1.14 $0.04 +3.3%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 1 0.195 $0.22 $-0.12 -35.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 1 0.029 $0.04 $-1.06 -96.7%